Message from the Chief

May 20

[ARCHIVED] CAP 2.0 Technical Analysis Update

The original item was published from May 20, 2019 10:17 AM to May 20, 2019 11:28 AM

Originally Written November 26, 2018

As was shared during the October 8, 2018 CAP2.0 City Council Work Session, City staff have been working with community partners to identify planned investments within the community over the course of the next 5-10 years that will reduce greenhouse gas or fossil fuel use.  Based on this information, the work of the project team and the City’s technical consultant, the City now has a sense of where the currently adopted plans, investments, and program actions will get us towards reaching the goals outlined in the Climate Recovery Ordinance (CRO).  This analysis is available here.

As reported on October 8, City staff forecasted a gap in what our community is currently planning and where the CRO envisions us to be.  Below is a short summary of the Community CRO goal, the forecasted impact of community investments, the forecasted gap, and some potential high impact actions that could fill that gap.  

CRO Target-Community

LLS Analysis Result

Potential actions to fill gap

Reduce Fossil Fuel Use By 2030 from 2010 levels by 50%.

Forecasted to reduce 35% by 2030

Substituting an additional 20,000 electric vehicles (roughly 14% of Eugene’s registered vehicles.)

Reduce GHG Emissions by 7.6% annually

Forecasted to see slight net increase (less than 5%) in emissions from 2010 to 2030.

  • State-wide carbon cap/trade law,
  • Increase in federal fuel efficiency standards for automobiles,
  • Widespread switch to plant-based diet,
  • Deep reduction in fossil fuel use (natural gas in buildings/industry, air travel, deep and accelerated electrification of transportation sector),
  • Deep reduction in use of high carbon goods, such as concrete, asphalt, and steel in construction/development,
  • Widespread increase in renewable energy production (solar farms, wind, hydro resources).
  • Electrification of building energy systems,
  • Increased investments in low-carbon transit, bicycle, and pedestrian infrastructure and corresponding transit-oriented development.

As you can see, there are a number of pathways to meeting our CRO goals. These pathways will have many impacts that should be evaluated via the Triple Bottom Line lens to understand the widespread community impacts, in addition to the ghg and fossil fuel reductions.

In keeping with City Council’s commitment to public engagement, staff is actively sharing data, informing the public on process, and seeking input through a comprehensive process that started this summer and will continue through to early spring.  As an example, the project team held seven public meetings over the past few weeks. Additionally, we are managing a comprehensive project webpage(s) on the City website located here. The CAP2.0 Equity Panel will start their work later this year and continue through the spring, to provide insight on the impacts to marginalized communities from the proposed climate recovery actions.

Lastly, staff is working on completing the following materials that will be the basis for further City Council discussion and community input later this winter and spring.

1)      Internal CRO Strategy Memo that outlines potential pathways to
     meet the City’s internal CRO goals by 2020. 

2)      A CRO Gap Strategy that outlines potential policy and
    programmatic options for closing the gap between current   
    planned actions and the CRO goals.  The strategy will explore
    potential regulatory, incentive, fee-based, and public investment
    actions that could reduce Eugene’s ghg emissions and fossil fuel
    use by 2030.  This work is scheduled to be completed by January