One goal of the CAP2.0 process was to recognize what additional actions would be needed to reach the CRO emission goals after evaluating the actions that have already been committed to being implemented. To accomplish this goal the CAP2.0 process focused on understanding what actions the ECC Partners had committed to completing over the next 5-10 years, measuring the impact of those actions, and comparing that analysis to the CRO emission goals. Further detail on the ECC Partner actions can be found in Sections 5 and 6 and in Appendix 3.
Figure 1 shows multiple ways Eugene tracks progress towards the CRO goals:
This method accounts for locally produced emissions and emissions created somewhere else in order to produce goods and services consumed locally. This circle includes all emissions from fossil fuel use and other sources of local emissions.
Emissions are forecasted to reach 3.13 Million MTCO2e by 2030 if the community continues with its current growth and consumption patterns. For more details on the calculations and assumptions on figures 2 and 3 please see Appendix 1.
Figure 3 illustrates that ECC Partner actions will lead to local reductions of about 700,000 MTCO2e.
Community emissions can be modeled using three “buckets” to represent the primary sources: energy used in buildings, transportation fuels, and consumption.
Local policy can have the most impact on transportation fuels and energy used in buildings. While local actions can reduce emissions from the consumption bucket, actions are needed from all levels of government and other sectors to make substantial reductions. The strategics described in the remainder of this document are related to local emissions.